Prediction of Juan Pablo Varillas vs Federico Agustin Gomez at Guayaquil Challenger 11-22-25

• Federico Agustin Gomez has shown stronger recent second serve performance, winning 47.08% of points compared to Juan Pablo Varillas' 42.81%.
• In return games, Gomez is slightly ahead on second serve returns, winning 47.84% of points versus Varillas' 43.39%.
• Conversely, Varillas performs better on first serve returns with 25.65% compared to Gomez's 24.69%.
• Under pressure, Gomez is marginally more resilient, saving 57.98% of breakpoints, while Varillas saves 56.18%.
• Analyzing overall matches in the last year, Varillas has a superior win rate at 60.87%, compared to Gomez's 43.14%.
• Both players excel on clay with a career win rate of 60%, but Varillas has more extensive experience with 417/258 W/L.
• In tournament levels, Varillas shows a stronger performance in Challengers/ITF, winning 61.54% of matches, against Gomez's 44.83%.
• In direct head-to-head encounters, Varillas has won both matches played, although Gomez won their last meeting in a close contest.
• Matches between these two typically last over two hours and twenty-four minutes, indicating evenly matched play.
• Gomez has faced tougher opponents over the last 12 months, with an average opponent ranking of 248.04, compared to Varillas' 296.48.
• If the match reaches a deciding set, Varillas holds a slight advantage with a 50% success rate, compared to Gomez's 42%.

Editorial Prediction (November 22, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Federico Agustin Gomez and Juan Pablo Varillas promises to be a closely contested battle. Despite Gomez's recent uptick in second serve performance and return game statistics, Varillas holds the historical advantage, having bested Gomez in previous head-to-head encounters.

Varillas' superior win record over the past year and his experience with winning critical sets could tilt the match in his favor. Additionally, his consistency in challenging tournament settings suggests a robust performance level capable of securing a victory.

While Gomez has demonstrated resilience and an improved second serve game, Varillas' track record on preferred surfaces and overall match experience provide him with the edge. The prediction leans towards Juan Pablo Varillas as the more likely winner of this competitive tennis clash.